Exclusive-Japan PM hopeful says US opposition to Nippon Steel deal ‘very unsettling’

By Tim Kelly and Nobuhiro Kubo

TOKYO (Reuters) -One of the frontrunners to become Japan’s next premier said on Friday that any U.S. move to block Japan’s Nippon Steel from buying U.S. Steel on national security grounds would be “very unsettling” and could dent trust between the allies.

The White House is close to announcing that President Joe Biden will block the $15 billion deal, Reuters reported on Wednesday.

A letter sent to the companies, and seen by Reuters, said the takeover could hurt the supply of steel needed for critical U.S. projects and make U.S. Steel less likely to seek tariffs on foreign steel importers.

“I find what the United States is saying (about Nippon Steel) to be very unsettling, making such statements or actions that could undermine the trust of its allies,” Shigeru Ishiba told Reuters in an interview.

“Recently the U.S. is tending to impose deals and threats even on its allies, this is true not only with NATO countries but also now with Japan. I question whether that is really a fair approach. It is extremely important for the Japanese government to discuss these matters sincerely, earnestly, and logically.”

Ishiba is running to become the leader of Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party, and by extension the next prime minister, on Sept. 27. Public opinion polls consistently put him among the most popular candidates, although the leadership vote is restricted to party members.

Another candidate vying for the top job, digital minister Taro Kono, on Thursday said governments should not intervene in deals arbitrarily, when asked about reports Biden was moving to block the deal.

Japan is one of the United States closest allies and its biggest foreign investor.

But the deal has faced bipartisan opposition political opposition amid upcoming presidential elections in the U.S. A powerful labour union is also against the takeover of Pennsylvania-headquartered U.S. Steel, a swing state key to both Democrats and Republicans.

U.S. ambassador to Japan Rahm Emanuel declined to comment on the reports on Thursday but said the relationship between the U.S. and Japan was “deeper, richer, and stronger than any single commercial transaction”. Japan’s trade minister Ken Saito also stressed the country’s strong economic relationship when asked about the deal on Friday.

But some analysts share Ishiba’s fear that a veto of the deal could dent relations.

“Blocking Nippon Steel’s bid for US Steel will undermine U.S.-Japan cooperation on national security, and put the lie to the notion of ‘ally shoring’ more generally,” said Marc Busch, Faculty Fellow at Georgetown McDonough’s Baratta Center for Global Business.

“The Japanese, and other allies, will conclude from this that Washington is merely playing protectionist politics.”

William Chou, a Japan expert at Washington’s conservative Hudson Institute, said it could give Tokyo pause when it comes to supporting U.S.-led initiatives on economic security, such as stymieing China’s access to advanced semiconductors.

“What I am hearing from the Japanese side is frustration that while we are working with you on your economic security priorities in semi-conductors, we are not getting any reciprocity on our FDI priorities,” he said.

Japanese companies, especially those considering investing in the U.S., are closely watching Washington’s review of Nippon Steel’s deal, Japan’s biggest business lobby Keidanren said on Friday.

“We sincerely hope that the review procedure (in the United States) will be conducted with the utmost integrity and fairness in accordance with the law,” Keidanren said in a statement.

Keidanren’s statement comes after the Japan-U.S. Business Council, a Washington, D.C.-based industry group representing major Japanese firms, said on Thursday it was seriously concerned by the reports Biden was going to block the sale.

(Reporting by Tim Kelly and Nobuhiro Kubo and Katya Golubkova in Tokyo and David Brunnstrom in Washington DC; Writing by John Geddie; Editing by Himani Sarkar, Sonali Paul and Kim Coghill)